曾国藩打败太平军,如果太平军没有汉人自己残杀,会否推翻满清,以太平军的力量,满清已经无力歼灭了吗?
推荐回答(5个)
即使没有天京之乱,天平天国要想推翻满清也是很困难的。主要由以下几点:
当时国家大部分地区依然是忠于满清的,尤其是知识分子和地址阶级这一类掌握了国家主要资源的人群,并没有背弃满清的决心。
太平天国的一些政策不符合当时中国的实际。比如对宗教礼法的破坏,按照当时社会的主流价值观,是很难被接受的,所以得不到大部分人的支持,所以等到太平天国势力强大到一定程度后就很难继续发展壮大了。
当时的满清虽然有洋人的侵扰,但是洋人的目的并不在于灭亡中国,所以说,虽有外患却不紧急。因此满清可以集中全国的力量对太平天国进行围剿,甚至可以获得洋人的帮助。尤其是太平天国中后期,天国无力支持林凤祥的北伐,导致北伐失败,注定了太平天国由攻转守的局面。后来就陷入了与清廷江南江北两大营的纠缠之中。如果没有天京内乱,太平天国也只不过是能多坚持一段时间罢了,改变不了最终失败的结局。
大凡一个王朝的末期,虽然不如前期强大,但是面对农民起义,依然具有强大的战斗力。所以农民起义,只能是动摇一个国家根本,却很难彻底推翻统治阶级。例如汉代的黄巾起义,最终受益灭亡汉朝的却是大地主阶级,唐朝的黄巢起义,即使攻陷了长安也最终失败了,灭亡唐朝的却是已经成为唐朝藩镇的朱温,明朝的李自成即使打下了北京,大明依然拥有江南半壁,最终受益的却是满清鞑子。所以,从历史上来看,满清最终都会消灭太平军的,只不过会为以后推翻满清的人减少了阻力而已,事实上也是如此。
1.个人问题.曾国藩是一个谨小慎微的人,宁可"求阙",也不求全.忠君卫道思想严重,主观造反愿望不够强烈.
2.时机问题.湘军鼎盛时期十几万人,但是一朝攻破天京,那些彪悍的湘勇就成了大肆掳掠,等待早日衣锦还乡的匹夫了.当年姜维鼓动钟会造反,司马昭不以为然,因为他知道那些士兵人心思归不会为主将卖命.
3. 湘军内部不统一,李鸿章淮军势力早在太平天国未灭之前就独树一帜了,左宗棠自立楚军,这两大巨头肯定不会对曾国藩死心塌地.瓜田李下,为了洗脱嫌疑,一旦曾氏造反,打得最积极的恐怕就是这些羽翼以丰的门生.
4.曾国藩嫡系势力没有人才.湘军最有才干的几个已经自立门户,其他的嫡系分子如曾国荃,鲍超等要么实力有限,要么是一介匹夫,根本不是开国元勋的料.
5.当时是个烂摊子外因就很简单了,造反即使成功,还要面对清军残余势力,捻军,各地民间武装,以及湘军内部的分裂,更关键的是外国的侵略威胁.曾国藩打天平天国比较恨,对付外国人比他的生差多了.
6.清政府早有防范:早在咸丰四年,曾国藩攻占武昌,皇帝很高兴,准备封赏,不过有大臣密奏说曾国藩一介闲官居然能招募数万兵众,不是朝廷之福.这就动了满清害怕汉人的心病,从这时起,已经开始防范曾国藩势力。天京陷落,清政府不允许曾国荃八百里红旗报捷,继而赖掉咸丰帝"取江宁者封王"的许诺,只给了一等候的爵位,同时追究幼天王洪天贵福逃脱的责任.并且在天京周围布下满蒙重兵,如官文,富明阿,僧格林沁等.
不是,
太平军的力量以定都南京为最大,即便没有自相残杀,实力也不如当时的满清强,我这里说的不带其他特点,指的就是单纯的实力,所以,太平军打不过满清,其实聪明些的话你就会知道定都南京后无力北上也可以说明问题了。
看些正史之类的真实些的东西就行了,很清楚。
会。是。因为那时的清朝已经没有开国时的鼎盛,而且如果没有曾国藩的湘军围绞的话,太平军应该可以推翻清朝。。但是太平军的首领多半是有勇无谋的将军。
谢谢,。。。
没有汉奸,满清压根就入主不了中原。太平军主要是汉人军队灭的,八旗那时已经不行了。
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